Review of district building load and energy consumption prediction

Elaborates the current research status from the aspects of influence factors and prediction methods of the district building load and energy consumption prediction. The influence factors include the factors of monomer building energy consumption and the factors of regional characteristics (urban morphology and micro-climate). The basic prediction methods include the top-down method and the bottom-up method. The bottom-up method is widely used by introducing simultaneous coefficient and combining with scenario analysis method. Due to the lack of mature district building load and energy consumption prediction software, there are two prediction methods at present: 1) the basic modeling methods, i.e. statistical model based on practical investigation and GIS technology; 2) the integrated simulation method combined with energy simulation software and other tools by considering the micro-climate and the influence of urban morphology. Considering the characteristics of buildings in China, the bottom-up method combining with the scenario analysis method can be used to predict the district building load and energy consumption.